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US7IGN

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Re: Ukraine updates in English
« Ответ #720 : Марта 23, 2025, 07:14:07 pm »
Here is something almost unbelievable, but unfortunately it’s not fiction.

A report about what Steve Witkoff, Trump’s Special Envoy, said in a recent Tucker Carlson interview about Putin, Russia, Ukraine and Starmer’s plan.

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c62zm4eqvp7o

U.S. special envoy to the Middle East, Steve Witkoff, who recently emerged as a leading figure in negotiations regarding russia and Ukraine, revealed insights into ongoing ceasefire talks between Moscow and Washington.

In an interview on March 21 with American far-right political commentator Tucker Carlson, Witkoff openly parroted russian propaganda and agreed with most of the Kremlin's talking points, further casting doubt on whether Ukraine can expect to gain a ceasefire on its terms.

"I think the largest issue in that conflict are these so-called four regions, Donbas, Crimea ... and there's two others," Witkoff said, apparently referring to partly russian-occupied Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, Zaporizhzhia oblasts, and Crimea, fully occupied by russia since 2014.

"They are russian-speaking, and there have been referendums where the overwhelming majority of the people have indicated that they want to be under russian rule," Witkoff added, omitting the circumstances surrounding russia's sham referendums "at gunpoint" in occupied Ukraine.

Equating Ukrainian russian speakers to russians who support the war and using language as a way to justify its war against Ukraine is a common theme of russian propaganda.

Witkoff also claimed that Ukraine will hold presidential elections. His statement came after Carlson saying that Moscow considers Zelensky "not elected" and, therefore, "can't sign any kind of treaty."

Witkoff alleged that Ukrainian leadership had "largely conceded that they are not going to be a member of NATO" but added the discussion is open on whether Ukraine could have a degree of NATO-member protection from the U.S. and European countries.

Witkoff added that russia "100%" doesn't want to wage a war in Europe or "absorb Ukraine" fully.

"(russia's) reclaimed these five regions. They have Crimea, and they've gotten what they want. So why do they need more?" Witkoff added, not mentioning that russia had made similar claims of not invading Ukraine prior to its full-scale invasion.

"Who doesn't want to have a world where russia and the United States are doing collaboratively good things together?" he said, mentioning the prospect of doing business as usual with Russia with "energy policies in the Arctic," selling natural gas to Europe and collaborating on AI.

Well, what's said is said. Ukraine needs to urgently change a lot of things to survive, but who will do it if it is led by the same people who led it to disaster? I still don't want to think about the fact that this could be part of one big game that started long before 2022.

Meanwhile, money is always money, and Zelensky's friend has seized control of yet another highly profitable business. Ukraine has created the PlayCity State Agency, which will replace the liquidated Commission for the Regulation of Gambling and Lotteries and will be responsible for state regulation in the field of organizing and conducting gambling and in the field of lotteries. The activities of the agency, which will be subordinate to the Ministry of Digital, will be coordinated by Deputy Prime Minister - Minister of Digital Transformation Mykhailo Fedorov. https://zn.ua/ukr/ECONOMICS/v-ukrajini-stvorili-derzhahentstvo-plejsiti-jak-pratsjuvatime-novij-rehuljator-azartnikh-ihor-.html

US7IGN

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Re: Ukraine updates in English
« Ответ #721 : Марта 23, 2025, 07:29:22 pm »
russian drone attacks have been happening every day/night for a long time now, but tonight in Kyiv there were three direct hits on residential buildings, one of them less than a kilometer from me and literally in Sergiy's neighboring house.
https://www.bbc.com/news/live/cq6y3my01ndt
https://www.bbc.com/ukrainian/articles/cly2j9vd81wo

They shot down a drone almost above me and it changed the sound and dived into that unfortunate house. At night in the dark you never know where exactly the drone will end up. When several drones are flying at the same time, the situation becomes even worse. However, this did not stop me from recording these sounds in high quality for Cicely.

As I said before, recently drones are shot down when they have already flown into the city. Six months ago they were shot down earlier and they fell into the fields, causing practically no damage. Apparently, the problem is complex. On the one hand, there are many more drones, and on the other hand, the mobile teams that shot down drones in the fields were partially sent to the front as stormtroopers. And this is one of the reasons why no one wants to join the army. Perhaps there would be more mobile teams, and fewer drones would fly into the cities, if people were sure that when they go to shoot down drones, they will shoot down drones. I'm not even talking about the fact that in order to successfully shoot down drones, people with the appropriate skills and experience are needed.

Some even believe that this is being done intentionally, so that people in the cities agree to peace on any terms, just so that the war ends and drones no longer fly into their homes.

As for me, my heart starts to hurt from sleepless nights and stress.

N0TZU

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Re: Ukraine updates in English
« Ответ #722 : Марта 24, 2025, 02:29:48 am »
Thank god that that neither Sergiy’s house nor yours was damaged. Much too close.

KD8ZM-Brady

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Re: Ukraine updates in English
« Ответ #723 : Марта 24, 2025, 04:35:57 pm »
Hello Bob! I understand the dangers of proliferation of nuclear weapons, but I am not very concerned when they are in the hands of European nations. Middle Eastern nations are a different story. Based on what you've written, I suspect you would agree with that much.
It has become labeled "racist" in this day and age to recognize that some cultures are better than others, but to those who think independently and aren't daunted by name-calling or cancelation, it's easy to see that some cultures are inherently better than others (that is not to say that they are perfect, by any means). European culture is better than Middle Eastern culture, that's my belief - there, I said it. So I don't want to see proliferation of nukes into the hands of ME nations' rulers. It's a sad fact of history that they made it into the hands of Russian dictators, but that ship sailed long ago and there's no calling it back to port.
As far as anything coming out of Tucker Carlson's mouth, it is generally fantasy. I don't know if he really believes the nonsense he spouts, or if he's just a guy with no conscience who uses sensational lies to make a nice living. Only God can know the answer to that. Fewer and fewer people listen to him as time goes on, but unfortunately there are still some dupes who do.

Wlad, I'm so sorry to hear about the stress conditions there - I don't know how long it will take to end this thing, but I hope it is soon. I pray it is soon.


N0TZU

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Re: Ukraine updates in English
« Ответ #724 : Марта 24, 2025, 05:00:26 pm »
An article in the NYT this morning. More about the contest of Putin v Trump. As I expected, Trump is being out-played by a mile.

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/24/world/europe/trump-russia-putin-ukraine.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

Let’s go back a bit and recall howTrump said how eager he was to end the war even before taking office, bragged about his ability to stop it within a day, and talked about concessions that might be made. Putin has naturally taken all of that as granted, and will be demanding more.  Meanwhile Trump and his “negotiators” have been parroting Russian propaganda and gushing with compliments of Putin.

Trump and his people have either fundamentally misjudged Putin, who is a cold blooded killer, or have simply chosen to ignore his character, behavior, and long track record as a dictator. No amount of ego stroking will cause him to roll over like a puppy and become amenable to changing his imperial goals, nor will more and more concessions. They will only invite more demands. He is not interested in improving Russian economics at the expense of any of his sick dreams.

Trump apparently sees only dollar signs for the US (and perhaps for himself*) in a rapprochement with Russia and actually cares nothing for the fate of people in Ukraine, IMO.

Putin has already largely won against Trump.

* I’ve loosely followed Trump since reading the Art of the Deal decades ago and realizing at that time what type of person he is. He doesn’t do anything without personal gain involved, IMO.
« Последнее редактирование: Марта 24, 2025, 05:02:06 pm от N0TZU »

KD8ZM-Brady

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Re: Ukraine updates in English
« Ответ #725 : Марта 24, 2025, 07:25:14 pm »
Putin has a long track record of fooling US presidents, so as much as I hate to concede it to him, he must be pretty good at it. I remember GWB saying that he looked into Putin's soul and saw something trustworthy, Obama telling Romney that Russia was done as a security threat, and Trump now being outplayed (so far - he still has the opportunity to change it, but can he, will he?).
On a positive note, Russia's economy has been wrecked, and their ability to recover from it wrecked, as well. No matter how much power he wants to have, the amount he can actually have will be driven strictly by economics. As it always is.

N0TZU

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Re: Ukraine updates in English
« Ответ #726 : Марта 24, 2025, 09:00:42 pm »
Yes It’s unfortunate but sadly necessary that more nations need to seriously consider nuclear weapons programs, and I agree that European nations are a pretty safe bet to have them and some others are certainly not.

We must be on guard though. It’s possible that even in a presently stable democracy a despot might someday be elected, become a dictator by degrees, and then threaten and attack neighbors while protected by his nukes. As yet there seems to be no perfect solution and it seems that humans will continue to occasionally let themselves be led to disaster by such men.

I remember well Bush the Younger describing how he “looked into Putin’s eyes” and saw someone he could trust (paraphrasing), and Obama’s overconfidence, etc. It’s a recurring theme and not only with Putin, but he’s certainly excellent at pretending to be what his opponent wants to see.

There’s a tendency IMO for free men in democratic stable society with rule of law protecting their rights to naively assume the best of people even when evidence says otherwise. Even when the facts are in, there is a denial phase and some never understand (example, Pollyannas about career violent criminals).

US7IGN

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Re: Ukraine updates in English
« Ответ #727 : Марта 25, 2025, 07:30:40 pm »
Trump apparently sees only dollar signs for the US (and perhaps for himself*) in a rapprochement with Russia and actually cares nothing for the fate of people in Ukraine, IMO.

Putin has already largely won against Trump.

* I’ve loosely followed Trump since reading the Art of the Deal decades ago and realizing at that time what type of person he is. He doesn’t do anything without personal gain involved, IMO.

I don't think putin won against Trump. I think that Trump is simply pursuing goals known only to him and does not believe that he needs to take into account the interests of Ukraine, which is also represented by a person whom he either considers an enemy or despises. It seems to me that Ukrainians are something similar to Palestinians for him. This explains his support for russia and Israel.

US7IGN

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Re: Ukraine updates in English
« Ответ #728 : Марта 25, 2025, 07:35:26 pm »
I remember well Bush the Younger describing how he “looked into Putin’s eyes” and saw someone he could trust (paraphrasing), and Obama’s overconfidence, etc. It’s a recurring theme and not only with Putin, but he’s certainly excellent at pretending to be what his opponent wants to see.

There’s a tendency IMO for free men in democratic stable society with rule of law protecting their rights to naively assume the best of people even when evidence says otherwise. Even when the facts are in, there is a denial phase and some never understand (example, Pollyannas about career violent criminals).

I am sincerely surprised how politicians of such level can take someone's word for it or see "something" in their eyes. Probably this is forgivable for an actor who also saw "the peace in putin's eyes", although American and Ukrainian intelligence, together with Biden, personally warned him about the attack.
« Последнее редактирование: Марта 25, 2025, 08:14:04 pm от US7IGN »

US7IGN

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Re: Ukraine updates in English
« Ответ #729 : Марта 25, 2025, 08:13:24 pm »
Today it was raining again and my leg started to hurt. I was walking home, limping badly, and then a car rushed past me, from which, further down the street, those who were catching people jumped out and attacked some guy there. Apparently they didn't think I was worth their attention. I walked past them with a calm face, thanking God.

Sometimes during joint calls with our office in Vienna, colleagues there complain about stress in the office. They don't understand that in Ukraine you just relax in the office after stress outside of it, where russians launch drones and missiles into your house, and man hunters want to send you to the army in their place.

The Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine has removed from the agenda a bill that proposes to allow the National Guard to use firearms and tear gas against civilians during "mass riots," said Vitaliy Shabunin, head of the Anti-Corruption Center. https://zn.ua/ukr/UKRAINE/zakonoprojekt-pro-rozshirennja-povnovazhen-nhu-znjali-z-porjadku-dennoho-radi-shabunin.html

Apparently, public outcry still matters to the authorities. Although it can be adopted later, disguised as another, when the necessary norms are inserted into a law that has a different name and regulates other things, which has already been done before.

It seems that authoritarianism has been becoming popular in the world recently. More than a thousand people have been detained during protests following the jailing of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, Turkish Interior Minister Ali Yerlikaya said on Monday. Imamoglu, a political rival of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, was detained from his home on Wednesday. Authorities in Istanbul banned protests and closed some roads “in order to maintain public order” and “prevent any provocative actions that may occur.” https://edition.cnn.com/2025/03/24/europe/turkey-detains-protesters-istanbul-mayor-intl/index.html

Time magazine has once again published a big article about Zelensky, this time placing his photo on the cover with an eloquent caption - The Endgame. https://time.com/7270880/zelensky-trump-putin-ukraine-endgame-interview/

The White House says russia and Ukraine have agreed to ensure safe passage for commercial shipping in the Black Sea and stop military strikes. Ukraine agrees to stop military force in the Black Sea, but says any movement of russian naval vessels would be a violation of the agreement. "It is too early to say that it will work, but these were the right meetings, the right decisions," says President Zelensky

Meanwhile, russia says certain sanctions on banks, insurers, and food exporters must be lifted before the ceasefire comes into force. https://www.bbc.com/news/live/c4g7w7521w0t

Yesterday, russian forces launched a missile strike on the center of Sumy, local authorities reported dozens of injuries. The attack damaged high-rise buildings and a school. The strike hit a busy area of ​​the city, where a school, several kindergartens, and an infectious diseases hospital are located. According to the city council, as of the morning of March 25, at least 99 people were injured, including 17 children. https://www.bbc.com/ukrainian/articles/cjd3mkn0l0po

N0TZU

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Re: Ukraine updates in English
« Ответ #730 : Марта 25, 2025, 10:01:49 pm »

I don't think putin won against Trump. I think that Trump is simply pursuing goals known only to him and does not believe that he needs to take into account the interests of Ukraine, which is also represented by a person whom he either considers an enemy or despises. It seems to me that Ukrainians are something similar to Palestinians for him. This explains his support for russia and Israel.
I agree. He’s had a very strong interest in Russia for years, long before any issue with Ukraine, and said he wanted to build a hotel in Moscow. During his last term as President he had a private meeting with Putin (including only interpreters) but wouldn’t disclose the conversation to his advisors and demanded that the interpreter destroy his notes. He clearly likes Putin (and seemingly every other dictator and strongman).

Ukraine didn’t agree to his demands about Hunter Biden which he’s certainly not forgotten, but at some point he became very interested in the potential mineral business which is apparently all that Ukraine means to him at the moment. At least that is something.

Which puts Ukraine into a partly similar position as Greenland and Canada. Perhaps what will remain of Ukraine could become the 53rd American state. Then there wouldn’t be tariffs on the minerals! /s

None of this explains the inverted history and morality that he and his minions spout about Ukraine and Russia. But then I must remember that he is a fundamentally amoral person.
« Последнее редактирование: Марта 25, 2025, 10:14:11 pm от N0TZU »

N0TZU

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Re: Ukraine updates in English
« Ответ #731 : Марта 25, 2025, 10:09:05 pm »

I am sincerely surprised how politicians of such level can take someone's word for it or see "something" in their eyes. Probably this is forgivable for an actor who also saw "the peace in putin's eyes", although American and Ukrainian intelligence, together with Biden, personally warned him about the attack.
Don’t feel too bad, Look at some of those we in the US have elected to Congress and the Presidency.

KD8ZM-Brady

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Re: Ukraine updates in English
« Ответ #732 : Марта 26, 2025, 03:09:21 pm »

It seems that authoritarianism has been becoming popular in the world recently. More than a thousand people have been detained during protests following the jailing of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, Turkish Interior Minister Ali Yerlikaya said on Monday. Imamoglu, a political rival of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, was detained from his home on Wednesday. Authorities in Istanbul banned protests and closed some roads “in order to maintain public order” and “prevent any provocative actions that may occur.” https://edition.cnn.com/2025/03/24/europe/turkey-detains-protesters-istanbul-mayor-intl/index.html


Turkiye and Israel will be at war with each other over Homs, in Syria at least and perhaps elsewhere. Erdogan has delusions of being much larger than he actually is, although his country is certainly strategically located!

Very sorry to read about the ongoing bombing of innocents in Ukraine. Praying for peace!

US7IGN

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Re: Ukraine updates in English
« Ответ #733 : Марта 26, 2025, 09:06:53 pm »
US President Donald Trump's presidential Envoy for Special Missions Richard Grenell has stated that the nuclear weapons that remained on Ukrainian territory after the collapse of the USSR belonged to russia and claimed this to be an "uncomfortable fact".

Quote from Grenell: "Let's be clear about the Budapest Memorandum: the nukes were russia's and were leftovers. Ukraine gave the nukes back to russia. They weren't Ukraine's. This is an uncomfortable fact."

Steven Pifer, former US ambassador to Ukraine and nuclear weapons expert, responded by stating that Grenell is "flat wrong".

Quote from Pifer: "I helped negotiate Budapest Memorandum. Grenell is flat wrong. Nuclear warheads in Ukraine were ex-Soviet, not russian. Warheads in storage were in sole Ukrainian custody. ICBMs [intercontinental ballistic missiles] and bombers were eliminated in Ukraine except small number sent to russia for debt relief."

He advised Grenell to read the full story.

Earlier, former US president Bill Clinton expressed regret over his role in Ukraine's nuclear disarmament in the 1990s, suggesting that otherwise russia might not have launched its full-scale invasion.

In January 1994, Clinton signed a trilateral agreement with the then presidents of russia and Ukraine, Boris Yeltsin and Leonid Kravchuk, on eliminating the arsenal of strategic nuclear weapons that remained on Ukrainian territory after the collapse of the USSR.

In December of the same year, the United States also joined the Budapest Memorandum, which stipulated russia's obligation to respect the territorial integrity of Ukraine.
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2025/03/26/7504568/

These words of Grenell may mean that another member of the Trump administration is stupid and does not know history, or that they are doing this deliberately, repeating russian propaganda. In any case, it is very sad for Ukraine and for the world.

In Ukraine, the topic of nuclear weapons left over from the USSR is also quite popular in debates at all levels. Some people believe that Ukraine did not have the money and technical ability to service and use it anyway, while others believe that Ukraine, as one of the developers and manufacturers of these missiles and electronics, could adapt nuclear weapons and maintain it in working order. Now we will never know about this, as well as confirmation of rumors that Kravchuk personally received huge amounts of money at that time, disarming Ukraine.

But we should also not forget that it was the Ukrainians who elected the former communist and head of the Communist Party of the Ukrainian SSR Kravchuk as the first president of Ukraine, and not, for example, the nationalist Chornovil, as the Poles did in 1990, choosing Lech Walesa.

Nonetheless, both putin and Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky probably understand the risks of a prolonged war. A protracted conflict could drag down the russian economy and risks “undesired escalation with the West,” while for Ukraine, Zelensky likely understands that the future of western assistance is uncertain, the report found.

Moscow also retains the momentum on the battlefield as a grinding war of attrition plays to russia’s military advantages and “will lead to a gradual but steady erosion of Kyiv’s position on the battlefield, regardless of any U.S. or allied attempts to impose new and greater costs on Moscow.”

The US intelligence community also continues to see a risk that putin may resort to nuclear weapons. “russia’s inability to achieve quick and decisive battlefield wins, coupled with Ukrainian strikes within russia, continues to drive concerns that putin might use nuclear weapons,” according to the assessment. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-25/russia-ukraine-see-unsatisfactory-ceasefire-worse-than-continued-war-us-says

Meanwhile, the strategic prospects for Ukraine are getting worse and worse every day.

European efforts to create security arrangements for Ukraine are shifting from sending troops to other alternatives as they face political and logistical constraints, and the prospect of russia and the United States opposing their plans.

Ukraine has long said that any peace deal would require firm security guarantees from the West to prevent any repeat of attacks by russia, which launched its full-scale invasion in 2022. French President Emmanuel Macron and British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, who both visited the White House last month, have each suggested their countries could contribute thousands of troops to a future force. But they have also so far fruitlessly sought some form of "backstop" from Washington, without specifying what this entails.

Moscow says it will never agree to any proposal for NATO countries to send troops to Ukraine.

President Donald Trump, who has shifted U.S. policy abruptly towards accepting russia's narrative about the conflict, initially praised the British and French proposals to send troops and said he thought russia would agree to them. But lately American officials have sounded more sceptical. In an interview with podcaster Tucker Carlson last week, Trump envoy Steve Witkoff ridiculed the European proposals as "a posture and a pose".
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/europes-talks-ukraine-security-shift-sending-troops-2025-03-26/

"The European Union is facing unprecedented threats - geopolitical instability and conflicts, cybersecurity risks and information manipulation, climate change and the increasing likelihood of natural disasters," the European Commission said, publishing a new Crisis Preparedness Strategy. Every resident of the European Union must be prepared to survive autonomously in crisis situations for at least three days.  https://commission.europa.eu/topics/preparedness_en

When you read some court decisions, you understand why the authorities want to close public access to them. One such decision shows that the commander did not let a soldier go to the medical unit and the soldier died. For this, the commander was fined $400.

On March 17, the Sloviansk City District Court of Donetsk Oblast found the commander of the engineering and sapper unit of one of the mechanized battalions, Junior Sergeant Andriy K., guilty of negligent attitude to military service, which led to the death of his subordinate.

As indicated in the case materials, at about 10:00 p.m. on February 26, 2025, serviceman M. informed Andriy K. of the urgent need to go to the medical center due to heart problems.

However, Andriy K. refused to let the soldier go to the medical center.

As a result, soldier M. died during the night.

According to the death certificate of serviceman M., which was drawn up on February 27, the soldier's death occurred as a result of "acute coronary insufficiency."
https://sud.ua/uk/news/publication/326722-komandir-ne-otpustil-soldata-v-meditsinskuyu-chast-i-soldat-umer-chto-reshil-sud

The question of what a sick soldier was doing in the army apparently did not interest anyone at all...

N0TZU

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Re: Ukraine updates in English
« Ответ #734 : Марта 27, 2025, 04:59:46 pm »
Wlad, I’m often so disturbed by reading your accounts that a must stop and continue later.

Merely walking along and nearly being abducted by thugs for the army, or being killed outright by a missile - I don’t know how you get through the day, or night. I suppose you do because there’s no other choice.