Thanks Bob, but we don't have anyone in Poland to be sure of proper support. But we have a few months to resolve this issue.
One of the unexpected advantages that we (at least Kate and I) received from the forced changes in 2022 is a change in our worldview. If earlier we considered other countries exclusively as places for tourism, now we feel and consider both ourselves personally and events in Ukraine on a global scale. We remain patriots of Ukraine, but this certainly affects our perception of many things both inside and outside Ukraine.
It is obvious that to assess the situation even within the country, it is necessary to take into account many factors that affect it and that are outside its borders and about which we know nothing. Given the events of the last (hundreds) of years, one can be sure of only one thing - no one cares about the weak and only strength matters. And this gives a hint - you cannot count on anyone and you need to do everything in your power to become stronger. It's like in the old joke about the bear. If a bear is chasing a group of tourists, you don't need to run away from it first, and most importantly not last. In addition, your knowledge and skills are the asset that is always with you wherever you go. But do not forget that the world is constantly changing and you need to change with it. What helped you achieve success in the past may become outdated and not help in the future. Your assessment of the situation based on previous experience may be wrong. Therefore, the main strategy for survival is constant development and flexibility, readiness for the unknown.
It is the lack of information about the real state of affairs and the intentions of the most powerful players in the world that does not allow me to relax and expect the collapse of russia, despite all its weakening, which seems to be a popular opinion among Western analysts.
https://www.thecipherbrief.com/putin-ukraine-war-sink-russiaIts resources have not disappeared, its army has strengthened, its population has not significantly decreased, moreover, it is inclined to unite in the face of an external threat. Its alliances with China, India, Brazil and other countries remain strong, despite the loss of influence in South America and the Middle East. There is a saying in Ukraine - a thin person will die sooner than a fat person will lose weight. So remaining with the support of only Europe (and even then partially) makes me pessimistic about the future of Ukraine. Unless Trump's successes in Venezuela and perhaps soon in Greenland
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cwyg1jg8xkmo give hope that his greed for seizing the resources of other countries will create competition with russia in this issue and he will return to the resource agreement with Ukraine, establishing his power over it.
But for now over the past two weeks, there has been a significant increase in cases of shadow fleet vessels openly changing their flags to russian ones, with the number of such vessels reaching 11.
https://x.com/TankerTrackers/status/2007437580699042235The New York Times has followed the history of difficult relations between Ukraine and the United States over recent years.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/12/30/world/europe/ukraine-war-us-russia.htmlThe new head of the presidential office, Kyrylo Budanov, maintained non-public contacts with the Trump administration, while his predecessor, Andriy Yermak, tried to block them, Ukrainian media write. Budanov himself has two significant advantages in the eyes of the Americans: a realistic view of the state of affairs in the war and the fact that he is not involved in high-profile corruption scandals. As a result, negotiations with him could be conducted adequately and without reputational risks. Moreover, Budanov is almost the only one in the country who also has direct working contacts with the russians, as he communicated with them about prisoner exchanges and held separate face-to-face negotiations in the UAE. The media emphasizes that for the new head of the presidential office, the external track was one of the main reasons for agreeing to this position. "Budanov, as head of the presidential office, will actually lead the negotiations on the end of the war, guarantees from the US and partners, and other security issues from the Ukrainian side," the material says.
https://uainfo.org/blognews/1767614062-budanov-pidtrimuvav-nepublichni-kontakti-z-administratsieyu.htmlFollowing the meeting of the "Coalition of the Willing" in Paris, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky signed a declaration of intent with the leaders of France and Great Britain to deploy a multinational military contingent in Ukraine after a ceasefire, Le Monde reports. The United States of America will also participate in this.
https://www.lemonde.fr/international/live/2026/01/07/en-direct-guerre-en-ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-dit-qu-il-n-a-pas-recu-de-reponse-claire-des-europeens-sur-leur-action-en-cas-de-nouvelle-attaque-russe_6660486_3210.html#id-2753958Ukraine must ensure that its young people can find decent jobs in their own country, and not go to Germany, Poland or France. This is something we have already discussed in Brussels,” said German Chancellor Friedrich Merz.
https://nv.ua/ukr/world/geopolitics/merc-zaklikav-ukrajinu-zabezpechiti-robochi-miscya-dlya-molodi-pidtrimka-nimechchini-50573760.htmlMeanwhile, in Ukraine, checks are being carried out on students due to the increase in the number of men of draft age in educational institutions. Those who miss classes risk losing their student status. The postponement of mobilization also depends on this.
https://24tv.ua/education/vidstrochka-vid-mobilizatsiyi-studentiv-vidrahovuyut-cherez-propuski_n2982564It is no secret that in Ukraine there are many legal corruption schemes for evading mobilization, which the authorities are "fighting" instead of eliminating their causes. One of them is "studying" in educational institutions when someone becomes a "student" for a bribe and receives a deferment from mobilization. In order to eliminate this scheme, it is enough to exclude from the law such a basis for deferment, like many others, but for some reason this is not happening.
In 2025, the Office of the Commissioner for Human Rights of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine received approximately 6 thousand appeals regarding human rights violations by representatives of mobilization centers during mobilization activities, reported Ombudsman Dmytro Lubinets. The Ombudsman stated that the actions of state authorities undermined the motivation of citizens who in 2022-2023 consciously went to serve and sought to become part of the defense forces. According to him, a system has never been built in Ukraine that could adequately offer a person a place in the Armed Forces, clearly define the conditions of service and provide appropriate financial remuneration.
Instead, according to Lubinets, a “system of coercion” was created. Dmytro Lubinets reported on cases when representatives of mobilization centers forcibly kept people in their premises for weeks without the possibility of telephone communication. “Does Ukraine benefit from this? No. Did the Armed Forces of Ukraine benefit from this? No. All the military personnel I spoke with on the front line all say that we do not need “busified” military personnel. We need motivated, trained ones. Therefore, in my opinion, the system should be overhauled as quickly as possible,” the ombudsman noted. Among the key decisions, he named the creation of an effective recruiting system and the introduction of clear financial motivation for military personnel.
https://sud.ua/uk/news/ukraine/350262-za-god-v-ttsk-postupilo-okolo-6-tysyach-zhalob-lubinets-prizval-peresmotret-sistemu-mobilizatsiiHe also confirmed the existence of a problem in ensuring the constitutional right of a person to professional legal assistance in mobilization centers. Lubinets called the cases of illegal physical detention, illegal seizure of personal belongings, use of physical force, and deprivation of a person's right to legal assistance shameful.
https://unba.org.ua/news/11106-problemu-porushennya-prava-lyudini-na-pravnichu-dopomogu-u-tck-viznav-ombudsman.html